Sunday, February 22, 2009

Academy Award Predictions

I know, I know, it's been forever since I've posted and I'll return with a review binge soon. For now here are my personal rankings of the nominees in each category and my prediction for who will win each. NB: Films I've yet to see are not ranked, just arranged alphabetically...

Best Picture

Ranking:
1. Frost/Nixon
2. Milk
3. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
4. Slumdog Millionaire
5. The Reader
Prediction:
Slumdog Millionaire
Should've been a contender:
The Wrestler; Wall-E; Rachel Getting Married

Best Actor

Ranking:
1. Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
2. Richard Jenkins, The Visitor
3. Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
4. Sean Penn, Milk
5. Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Prediction:
Mickey Rourke
Should've been a contender:
Leonardo DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road/Body of Lies; Robert Downey Jr., Iron Man; Colin Farrell, In Bruges; Daniel Craig, Defiance; Don Cheadle, Traitor

Best Actress

Ranking:
1. Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
2. Kate Winslet, The Reader
3. Angelina Jolie, Changeling
4. Meryl Streep, Doubt
Melissa Leo, Frozen River
Prediction:
Kate Winslet
Should've been a contender:
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road; Rebecca Hall, Vicky Christina Barcelona; Diane Lane, Untraceable; Jennifer Aniston, Marley and Me

Best Supporting Actor

Ranking:
1. Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight
2. Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
3. Josh Brolin, Milk
4. Robert Downey Jr., Tropic Thunder
5. Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road
Prediction:
Heath Ledger
Should've been a contender:
James Franco, Pineapple Express/Milk; Brad Pitt, Burn After Reading; Michael Sheen, Frost/Nison; Bill Iwin, Rachel Getting Married; Brendon Gleeson, In Bruges; Jamie Bell, Defiance; Viggo Mortensen, Appaloosa; Dev Patel, Slumdog Millionaire; Said Taghmaoui, Traitor; Doug Jones, Hellboy II: The Golden Army

Best Supporting Actress

Ranking:
1. Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
2. Amy Adams, Doubt
3. Viola Davis, Doubt
4. Penelope Cruz, Vicky Christina Barcelona
5. Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Prediction:
Penelope Cruz
Should've been a contender:
Hiam Abbass, The Visitor; Rosemarie Dewitt, Rachel Getting Married; Clemence Poesy, In Bruges; Isla Fisher, Definitely, Maybe; Debra Winger, Rachel Getting Married

Best Director

Ranking:
1. David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon
3. Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
4. Gus Van Sant, Milk
5. Stephen Daldry, The Reader
Prediction:
Danny Boyle
Should've been a contender:
Jonathan Demme, Rachel Getting Married; Darren Aronofsky, The Wrestler; Andrew Stanton, Wall-E

Best Original Screenplay

Ranking:
1. Martin McDonough, In Bruges
2. Andrew Stanton, Wall-E
3. Dustin Lance Black, Milk
4. Mike Leigh, Happy-Go-Lucky
UR. Courtney Hunt, Frozen River (NB: Still need to see Frozen River)
Prediction:
Dustin Lance Black
Should've been a contender:
Jenny Lumet, Rachel Getting Married; Robert Siegel, The Wrestler; Tom McCarthy, The Visitor; Joel Coen/Ethan Coen, Burn After Reading; John Kamps/David Koepp, Ghost Town

Best Adapted Screenplay

Ranking:
1. Peter Morgan, Frost/Nixon
2. Eric Roth, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. Simon Beaufoy, Slumdog Millionaire
4. John Patrick Shanley, Doubt
5. David Hare, The Reader
Prediction:
Simon Beaufoy
Should've been a contender:
Clayton Frohman/Edward Zwick, Defiance; Justine Haythe, Revolutionary Road; William Monaghan, Body of Lies

Best Editing

Ranking:
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. Frost/Nixon
3. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
4. Milk
5. The Dark Knight
Prediction:
Slumdog Millionaire
Should've been a contender:
Defiance; Rachel Getting Married

Best Cinematography

Ranking:
1. Claudio Miranda, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. Wally Pfister, The Dark Knight
3. Anthony Dod Mantle, Slumdog Millionaire
4. Tom Stern, Changeling
5. Chris Menges/Roger Deakins, The Reader
Prediction:
Anthony Dod Mantle
Should've been a contender:
Colin Watkinson, The Fall; Guillermo Navarro, Hellboy II: The Golden Army; Eduardo Serra, Defiance; Roger Deakins, Revolutionary Road; Mandy Walker, Australia

Best Art Direction

Ranking:
1. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. The Dark Knight
3. Revolutionary Road
4. Changeling
5. The Duchess
Prediction:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Should've been a contender:
Hellboy II: The Golden Army; The Fall; Defiance; Australia

Best Foreign Language Film

Nominees:
1. The Class (France)
The Baader Meinhof Complex (Germany)
Departures (Japan)
Revanche (Austria)
Waltz with Bashir (Israel)
Prediction:
Waltz with Bashir
Should've been a contender:
Gomorrah; Let the Right One In

Best Documentary

Nominees:
1. Man on Wire
2. Encounters at the End of the World
The Betrayal (Nerakhoon)
The Garden
Trouble the Water
Prediction:
Man on Wire
Should've been a contender:
Standard Operating Procedure; Bigger, Stronger, Faster*

Best Animated Film

Ranking:
1. Wall-E
2. Kung Fu Panda
3. Bolt
Prediction:
Wall-E
Should've been a contender:
Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa

Best Song

Ranking:
1. Down to Earth by Peter Gabriel and Thomas Newman, Wall-E
2. Jaiho, Slumdog Millionaire
3. O Saya, Slumdog Millionaire
Prediction:
Down to Earth
Should've been a contender:
The Wrestler by Bruce Springsteen, The Wrestler

Best Score

Ranking:
1. James Newton Howard, Defiance
2. Thomas Newman, Wall-E
3. Alexandre Desplat, Benjamin Button
4. Danny Elfman, Milk
5. A.R. Rahman, Slumdog Millionaire
Prediction:
A.R. Rahman
Should've been a contender:
James Newton Howard/Hans Zimmer, The Dark Knight; Danny Elfman, Hellboy II: The Golden Army; David Arnold, Quantum of Solace; Clint Mansell, The Wrestler; Geoff Zanelli, Ghost Town

Best Visual Effects

Ranking:
1. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. Iron Man
3. The Dark Knight
Prediction:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Should've been a contender:
Hellboy II: The Golden Army; Quantum of Solace

Best Makeup

Ranking:
1. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. Hellboy II: The Golden Army
3. The Dark Knight
Prediction:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Should've been a contender:
The Fall

Best Costume Design

Ranking:
1. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. Revolutionary Road
3. Australia
4. The Duchess
5. Milk
Prediction:
The Duchess
Should've been a contender:
The Fall; Hellboy II: The Golden Army; The Other Boleyn Girl; Changeling; Defiance

Best Sound Mixing

Ranking:
1. Wall-E
2. The Dark Knight
3. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
4. Wanted
5. Slumdog Millionaire
Prediction:
The Dark Knight
Should've been a contender:
Hellboy II: The Golden Army; Defiance; Quantum of Solace

Best Sound Editing

Ranking:
1. Wall-E
2. Iron Man
3. The Dark Knight
4. Wanted
5. Slumdog Millionaire
Prediction:
The Dark Knight
Should've been a contender:
Hellboy II: The Golden Army; The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian

Best Animated Short
Nominees:
1. Presto
La Maison en Petits Cubes
Lavatory - Lovestory
Oktapodi
This Way Up
Prediction:
This Way Up

Best Live Action Short
Nominees:
Auf der Strecke
Manon on the Asphalt
New Boy
The Pig
Spielzeugland (Toyland)
Prediction:
New Boy

Best Documentary Short
Nominees:
The Conscience of Nhem En
The Final Inch
Smile Pinki
The Witness from the Balcony of Room 306
Prediction:
The Conscience of Nhem En

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